Bicester And Woodstock (UK Parliament Constituency)
Bicester and Woodstock is a constituency of the House of Commons in the UK Parliament. After the completion of the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, it will first be contested at the 2024 general election.
Boundaries
The constituency is composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):
- The District of Cherwell wards of: Bicester East; Bicester North & Caversfield; Bicester South & Ambrosden; Bicester West; Fringford & Heyfords; Kidlington East; Kidlington West; Launton & Otmoor.
- The District of West Oxfordshire wards of: Eynsham and Cassington; Freeland and Hanborough; North Leigh; Stonesfield and Tackley; Woodstock and Bladon.
It comprises the following areas:
- The town of Bicester, transferred from Banbury
- The large village of Kidlington, transferred from Oxford West and Abingdon
- Largely rural areas, including the small market town of Woodstock, transferred from Witney
- A small rural area transferred from Henley
Predictions
There have been various MRP national prediction models, which have given the results shown below for Bicester & Woodstock. The accuracy of these for individual seat predictions may be debated, especially where boundary changes have been significant.
Since Bicester and Woodstock is a new constituency, these models conventionally use a notional baseline result of the 2019 election on the 2024 boundaries, jointly commissioned by the Press Association and major broadcasters from the psephologists Michael Thrasher and Colin Rallings.
| Date | Model | CON | LAB | LDEM | BRX | GRN | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2019 | Elections Centre | 54% | 17% | 27% | 0% | 2% |
| Date | Model | CON | LAB | LDEM | REF | GRN | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2024 | YouGov | 29% | 20% | 37% | 7% | 5% | |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 30% | 28% | 25% | 10% | 6% | |
| 15 Feb 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 30% | 30% | 25% | 10% | 5% | |
| 28 March 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 28% | 30% | 26% | 12% | 4% | |
| 30 March 2024 | Survation | 32% | 31% | 23% | 9% | 4% | |
| 3 April 2024 | YouGov | 31% | 24% | 26% | 12% | 6% | |
| 27 April 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 27% | 31% | 25% | 12% | 4% | |
| 21 May 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 28% | 31% | 24% | 11% | 5% | |
| 25 May 2024 | Economist | 32% | 30% | 19% | 8% | 7% | |
| 25 May 2024 | New Statesman | 33% | 19% | 35% | 8% | 6% | |
| 29 May 2024 | Financial Times | 31% | 26% | 25% | 11% | 6% | |
| 31 May 2024 | UK Polling Report | 32% | 30% | 24% | 9% | 5% | |
| 31 May 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 32% | 23% | 32% | 8% | 4% | |
| 3 June 2024 | YouGov | 32% | 22% | 32% | 9% | 4% | |
| 3 June 2024 | More In Common | 36% | 24% | 27% | 6% | 6% | |
| 4 June 2024 | Survation | 28% | 29% | 24% | 12% | 4% | |
| 7 June 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 32% | 22% | 32% | 10% | 4% | |
| 7 June 2024 | New Statesman | 31% | 21% | 34% | 9% | 6% | |
| 11 June 2024 | YouGov | 32% | 22% | 33% | 9% | 4% | |
| 14 June 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 31% | 21% | 33% | 11% | 3% | |
| 14 June 2024 | UK Polling Report | 29% | 29% | 25% | 12% | 5% | |
| 14 June 2024 | Economist | 31% | 30% | 19% | 9% | 7% | |
| 15 Jun 2024 | Survation | 24% | 28% | 28% | 11% | 6% | |
| 16 June 2024 | New Statesman | 32% | 20% | 34% | 9% | 6% | |
| 18 June 2024 | Ipsos | 34% | 30% | 22% | 9% | 4% | |
| 19 June 2024 | YouGov | 29% | 16% | 33% | 17% | 4% | |
| 19 June 2024 | More in Common | 33% | 15% | 40% | 6% | 5% | |
| 19 June 2024 | Savanta | 30% | 28% | 28% | 11% | 4% | |
| 20 June 2024 | Economist | 30% | 29% | 20% | 10% | 8% | |
| 21 June 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 30% | 19% | 33% | 13% | 4% | |
| 24 June 2024 | UK Polling Report | 27% | 27% | 26% | 15% | 5% | |
| 24 June 2024 | Focaldata | 31% | 20% | 30% | 14% | 5% | |
| 26 June 2024 | Economist / WeThink MRP | 31% | 29% | 25% | 9% | 5% | |
| 26 June 2024 | Electoral Calculus | 22% | 14% | 42% | 16% | 5% | |
| 27 June 2024 | Economist / WeThink (constituency poll) | 30% | 31% | 31% | 3% | 3% | |
| 30 June 2024 | JL Partners / Sunday Times | 26% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 5% |
Members of Parliament
Banbury, Witney, Oxford West & Abingdon and Henley prior to 2024
| Election | Member | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | TBC | TBC | |
Elections
Elections in the 2020s
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDP | Tim Funnell | ||||
| Conservative | Rupert Harrison | ||||
| Green | Ian Middleton | ||||
| Liberal Democrats | Calum Miller | ||||
| Labour | Veronica Oakeshott | ||||
| Reform UK | Augustine Obodo | ||||
| Majority | |||||
| Turnout | |||||
See also
- List of parliamentary constituencies in Oxfordshire
- List of parliamentary constituencies in the South East England (region)