Bolton North East (UK Parliament Constituency)
Constituency profile
The seat covers parts of Bolton town centre and extends into the West Pennine Moors. The districts in close proximity to the town centre (Breightmet, Crompton, Halliwell, Tonge with the Haulgh) are Labour-voting areas, whereas the outer suburbs (Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Bromley Cross) are much more Conservative inclined. Altogether, the national statistics collected reflect a socially diverse seat in terms of income; this has been a highly marginal seat when national polls are close, with lower than average social housing, and less deprivation than the average for the metropolitan county.
History
Bolton North East has more often than not to date been a marginal seat between Labour and Conservative candidates. In 1992, Labour's David Crausby came tantalisingly close to gaining the seat, but did not, as his party were expecting to. It would not be until 1997 that Labour gained the seat, with a huge 12,000 majority, holding it for the next 22 years. Labour comfortably held the seat in 2010, with very little swing from the previous election. Mark Logan finally recaptured the seat for the Conservatives in 2019 with a majority of just 0.9%, making it their fourth most marginal seat over Labour.
Logan opted not to contest the 2024 election and, after the Dissolution of Parliament, he endorsed the Labour Party. Labour's candidate, Kirith Entwistle subsequently won the seat with a majority of over 15%, with the Conservatives coming second just ahead of Reform UK.
Boundaries
Historic
Bolton North East was created for the 1983 general election from parts of the constituencies of Bolton West and the former Bolton East.
1983–1997: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, and Tonge.
1997–2010: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, Halliwell, and Tonge.
2010–2024: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Crompton, Halliwell, and Tonge with the Haulgh.
Current
Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency was expanded to bring the electorate within the permitted range by transferring from Bolton South East the ward of Little Lever & Darcy Lever (as it existed on 1 December 2020).
Following a local government boundary review which came into effect in May 2023, the constituency now comprises the following wards of the Metropolitan Borough of Bolton from the 2024 general election:
- Astley Bridge; Bradshaw; Breightmet; Bromley Cross; Halliwell; Little Lever & Darcy Lever; Queens Park & Central (majority); and Tonge with the Haulgh.
Members of Parliament
Election | Member | Party | |
---|---|---|---|
1983 | Peter Thurnham | Conservative | |
Feb 1996 | Independent | ||
Oct 1996 | Liberal Democrats | ||
1997 | Sir David Crausby | Labour | |
2019 | Mark Logan | Conservative | |
2024 | Kirith Entwistle | Labour |
Elections
Elections in the 2020s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | Kirith Entwistle | 16,166 | 37.3 | −5.1 | |
Conservative | Adele Warren | 9,513 | 21.9 | −23.1 | |
Reform UK | Trevor Jones | 9,428 | 21.7 | +15.2 | |
Green | Hanif Alli | 4,683 | 10.8 | +9.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | Rebecca Forrest | 1,507 | 3.5 | −0.9 | |
Workers Party | Syeda Kazmi | 1,463 | 3.4 | N/A | |
Independent | Kevin Allsop | 345 | 0.8 | N/A | |
Independent | John Partington | 254 | 0.6 | N/A | |
Majority | 6,653 | 15.3 | +14.5 | ||
Turnout | 43,552 | 54.4 | −9.2 | ||
Registered electors | 80,011 | ||||
Labour gain from Conservative | Swing | +8.1 |
Elections in the 2010s
2019 notional result | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | Vote | % | |
Conservative | 22,436 | 45.0 | |
Labour | 21,158 | 42.4 | |
Brexit Party | 3,259 | 6.5 | |
Liberal Democrats | 2,188 | 4.4 | |
Green | 803 | 1.6 | |
Turnout | 49,844 | 64.7 | |
Electorate | 77,020 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Mark Logan | 19,759 | 45.4 | +3.2 | |
Labour | David Crausby | 19,381 | 44.5 | −6.1 | |
Brexit Party | Trevor Jones | 1,880 | 4.3 | N/A | |
Liberal Democrats | Warren Fox | 1,847 | 4.2 | +1.3 | |
Green | Liz Spencer | 689 | 1.6 | +0.8 | |
Majority | 378 | 0.9 | N/A | ||
Turnout | 43,556 | 64.5 | −2.7 | ||
Conservative gain from Labour | Swing | +4.7 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | David Crausby | 22,870 | 50.6 | +7.6 | |
Conservative | James Daly | 19,073 | 42.2 | +9.4 | |
UKIP | Harry Lamb | 1,567 | 3.5 | −15.3 | |
Liberal Democrats | Warren Fox | 1,316 | 2.9 | 0.0 | |
Green | Liz Spencer | 357 | 0.8 | −1.8 | |
Majority | 3,797 | 8.4 | −1.8 | ||
Turnout | 45,183 | 67.2 | +3.6 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | −0.8 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | David Crausby | 18,541 | 43.0 | −3.1 | |
Conservative | James Daly | 14,164 | 32.8 | −3.7 | |
UKIP | Harry Lamb | 8,117 | 18.8 | +14.6 | |
Liberal Democrats | Stephen Rock | 1,236 | 2.9 | −10.1 | |
Green | Laura Diggle | 1,103 | 2.6 | N/A | |
Majority | 4,377 | 10.2 | +0.8 | ||
Turnout | 43,161 | 63.6 | −0.7 | ||
Labour hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | David Crausby | 19,870 | 45.9 | −0.4 | |
Conservative | Deborah Dunleavy | 15,786 | 36.5 | +2.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | Paul Ankers | 5,624 | 13.0 | −3.1 | |
UKIP | Neil Johnson | 1,815 | 4.2 | +2.4 | |
You Party | Norma Armston | 182 | 0.4 | N/A | |
Majority | 4,084 | 9.4 | −2.5 | ||
Turnout | 43,277 | 64.3 | +9.8 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | −1.3 |
Elections in the 2000s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | David Crausby | 16,874 | 45.7 | −8.6 | |
Conservative | Paul Brierley | 12,771 | 34.6 | +1.9 | |
Liberal Democrats | Adam Killeya | 6,044 | 16.4 | +6.1 | |
UKIP | Kevin Epsom | 640 | 1.7 | N/A | |
Veritas | Alan Ainscow | 375 | 1.0 | N/A | |
Socialist Labour | Lynne Lowe | 207 | 0.6 | −0.4 | |
Majority | 4,103 | 11.1 | −10.5 | ||
Turnout | 36,911 | 54.8 | −1.2 | ||
Labour hold | Swing | −5.2 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | David Crausby | 21,166 | 54.3 | −1.8 | |
Conservative | Michael Winstanley | 12,744 | 32.7 | +2.3 | |
Liberal Democrats | Tim Perkins | 4,004 | 10.3 | +0.4 | |
Green | Kenneth McIvor | 629 | 1.6 | N/A | |
Socialist Labour | Lynne Lowe | 407 | 1.0 | −0.4 | |
Majority | 8,422 | 21.6 | −4.1 | ||
Turnout | 38,950 | 56.0 | −16.4 | ||
Labour hold | Swing |
Elections in the 1990s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | David Crausby | 27,621 | 56.1 | ||
Conservative | Rob Wilson | 14,952 | 30.4 | ||
Liberal Democrats | Edmund Critchley | 4,862 | 9.9 | ||
Referendum | David Staniforth | 1,096 | 2.2 | N/A | |
Socialist Labour | William Kelly | 676 | 1.4 | N/A | |
Majority | 12,669 | 25.7 | N/A | ||
Turnout | 49,207 | 72.4 | |||
Labour hold | Swing | 10.2 |
For the 1997 general election the boundaries of the seat were significantly redrawn. The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1997 estimated that had the new boundaries been used for the previous general election rather than being narrowly held by the Conservatives, the seat would have been won by the Labour candidate with a majority of 3,017 over the Conservatives. Thus technically the seat was notionally a Labour hold at this election rather than a gain for the party. The swing above is based on this notional result.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Peter Thurnham | 21,644 | 44.9 | +0.5 | |
Labour | David Crausby | 21,459 | 44.5 | +1.8 | |
Liberal Democrats | Brian Dunning | 4,971 | 10.3 | −2.7 | |
Natural Law | Peter Tong | 181 | 0.4 | N/A | |
Majority | 185 | 0.4 | −1.3 | ||
Turnout | 48,255 | 82.3 | +3.6 | ||
Conservative hold | Swing | −0.7 |
Elections in the 1980s
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Peter Thurnham | 20,742 | 44.4 | +1.2 | |
Labour | Frank White | 19,929 | 42.7 | +4.9 | |
SDP | John Alcock | 6,060 | 13.0 | −5.3 | |
Majority | 813 | 1.7 | −3.7 | ||
Turnout | 46,731 | 78.7 | +1.6 | ||
Conservative hold | Swing |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Peter Thurnham | 19,632 | 43.2 | ||
Labour | Ann Taylor | 17,189 | 37.8 | ||
SDP | John Alcock | 8,311 | 18.3 | ||
BNP | David P. Ball | 186 | 0.4 | ||
Independent | Thomas Keen | 104 | 0.2 | ||
Majority | 2,443 | 5.4 | |||
Turnout | 45,318 | 77.1 | |||
Conservative win (new seat) |
See also
Notes
- ^ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
- ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
- ^ As it has more often than not given marginal majorities of less than 10%
References
- ^ "Bolton North East: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
- ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – North West". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 4 July 2024.
- ^ "'Bolton North East', June 1983 up to May 1997". ElectionWeb Project. Cognitive Computing Limited. Archived from the original on 11 March 2016. Retrieved 10 March 2016.
- ^ "Local statistics - Office for National Statistics". neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 11 February 2003. Retrieved 24 December 2012.
- ^ "Mark Logan: Former Tory MP backs Labour at general election". BBC News. 30 May 2024. Retrieved 30 May 2024.
- ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 5 North West region.
- ^ LGBCE. "Bolton | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 19 April 2024.
- ^ "The Bolton (Electoral Changes) Order 2022".
- ^ "New Seat Details - Bolton North East". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 19 April 2024.
- ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "B" (part 4)
- ^ Bolton North East constituency
- ^ "General election results 2024". Bolton Council. Retrieved 6 July 2024.
- ^ "Three more Labour parliamentary candidates selected over the weekend". LabourList. 20 February 2023. Retrieved 27 January 2024.
- ^ "Bolton North East Constituency". Reform UK. Retrieved 27 January 2024.
- ^ "Our candidates". Green Party of England and Wales. Retrieved 27 May 2024.
- ^ "Liberal Democrat Prospective Parliamentary Candidates". Mark Pack. Retrieved 27 January 2024.
- ^ "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament. Retrieved 11 July 2024.
- ^ Sansome, Jessica; Otter, Saffron (14 November 2019). "All the Greater Manchester General Election 2019 candidates". men. Retrieved 15 November 2019.
- ^ "Bolton North East parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
- ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- ^ "Bolton North East". BBC News. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
- ^ "Election 2010 - Constituency - Bolton North East". BBC News -.
- ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ General Election Results 1997 and 2001: Bolton North East Archived 3 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine. Political Science Resources. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
- ^ General Election 1997: Bolton North East. BBC. Retrieved 17 May 2010.
- ^ The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1997. London: Times Books. 1997. p. 79. ISBN 0-7230-0956-2.
- ^ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ "UK General Election results April 1992". Richard Kimber's Political Science Resources. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Archived from the original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved 6 December 2010.
- ^ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ General Election 11 June 1987: Bolton North East Archived 11 August 2011 at the Wayback Machine. Political Science Resources. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
- ^ Frank Richard White. Links in a Chain. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
- ^ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
- ^ General Election 9 June 1983: Bolton North East Archived 28 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine. Political Science Resources. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
External links
- nomis Constituency Profile for Bolton North East — presenting data from the ONS annual population survey and other official statistics.
- Bolton North East UK Parliament constituency (boundaries April 1997 – April 2010) at MapIt UK
- Bolton North East UK Parliament constituency (boundaries April 2010 – May 2024) at MapIt UK
- Bolton North East UK Parliament constituency (boundaries from June 2024) at MapIt UK